Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Review of poker hands odds calculator::How to Work Out a Bet? - What's Your Question?







Review of poker hands odds calculator::How to Work Out a Bet? - What's Your Question?








If               you               have               a               pocket               pair               of               either               sixes               or               kings               and               the               only               other               player               to               call               has               pocket               Aces,               which               pocket               pair               are               you               better               off               having               based               on               probability               percentages               of               winning?

Most               people               would               intuitively               say               pocket               kings               are               better.

Intuition               is               incorrect               in               this               case.

This               is               both               a               very               hard               question               and               a               very               easy               one.

It               is               an               easy               question               because               your               odds               are               very               poor               with               either               pair.

It               is               a               difficult               question               because               it               is               2%               worse               if               you               have               a               pair               of               kings               than               a               pair               of               sixes               against               the               pocket               aces.
               Before               I               go               into               the               analysis               of               this               hand               let               me               first               say               it               is               much               worse               to               have               pocket               kings               against               pocket               aces               because               you               are               much               more               likely               to               make               a               large               call               or               bet,               even               all               in               bet,               with               kings               than               sixes,               which               will               usually               be               folded               against               a               large               bet               or               raise.

Theoretically               these               two               hands               can               fall               at               endgame               with               two               head               up               players               left.

In               this               case               even               the               pocket               sixes               may               make               an               all               in               bet               since               any               pair               heads               up               is               generally               a               winner.
               If               you               have               two               kings               you               must               draw               a               third               king               without               the               aces               drawing               a               third               ace               in               order               to               win.

If               a               four               flush               is               unfolded               on               the               board               the               aces               will               beat               both               sixes               and               kings               if               the               hold               cards               of               both               players               match               the               suit               of               the               four               flush.

If               neither               player               matches               the               4               flush               the               point               is               moot,               with               the               improbable               exception               that               a               5               flush               on               board               will               unfold               to               tie               the               game.

Otherwise               the               single               player               matching               the               4               flush               will               win.
               The               reason               it               is               2%               better               to               have               sixes               rather               than               kings               has               to               do               with               the               possibility               of               a               straight               draw.

The               king               pair               limits               the               odds               of               the               aces               drawing               a               straight               since               a               king               fall               for               an               ace               high               straight               is               diminished               by               50%.

Likewise,               the               kings               draw               for               an               open               ended               straight               is               diminished               by               25%               since               two               aces               are               already               out               of               play               for               that               hand.
               In               real               time               play               the               odds               of               any               pocket               pair               winning               against               aces               is               small               before               the               flop,               about               1               in               5.

The               2%               advantage               due               to               a               straight               draw               is               small               and               more               of               an               intellectual               exercise               than               a               real               time               consideration.

You               are               more               likely               to               make               money               on               this               tidbit               of               information               as               a               side               bet               rather               than               a               difference               of               tactical               play.
               If               you               would               like               to               find               the               odds               of               any               two               to               six               combinations               of               hands               in               Texas               Hold'em               poker,               feel               free               to               use               the               free               poker               odds               calculator               at               the               World               Poker               Tour               home               page               at               worldpokertour.com.

They               have               a               whole               section               called               "The               Academy"               dedicated               to               increasing               your               poker               playing               skills.

Please               also               feel               free               to               read               all               my               other               poker               articles               on               Associated               Content.






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    Review of probability poker hands::Description of Standard Deck of 52 Cards - Norton Safe Search







    Review of probability poker hands::Description of Standard Deck of 52 Cards - Norton Safe Search








    Poker,               especially               big               bet               games               like               no-limit               Texas               hold'em               and               pot-limit               Omaha               hold'em,               have               a               very               large               element               of               chance               in               the               short               run.

    Over               time,               skill               will               obviously               win               out,               but               while               you're               waiting               on               "the               long               run",               you               need               to               take               measures               to               protect               yourself               from               the               inevitable               swings               that               come               along               with               playing               a               lot               of               poker.

    Here               we're               going               to               break               down               a               three-pronged               approach               to               managing               your               poker               bankroll               which               is               based               on               giving               you               the               protection               you               need               from               the               chance               element               of               the               game.

    First               you               need               to               realize               a               truth               about               the               game               that               is               not               what               most               people               want               to               hear:               your               edge               per               hour               is               relatively               small               compared               to               what               your               poker               bankroll               should               be.

    If               you're               playing               $1/2               no-limit               Texas               hold'em               in               a               casino               setting               playing               10-hour               sessions,               then               you               may               only               see               400-500               hands               in               a               session.

    Even               if               you're               winning               eight               big               blinds               per               hundred               hands,               that's               only               an               average               of               winning               $64-80               per               session.

    Meanwhile,               your               bankroll               should               be               well               over               $4000               to               even               sit               in               the               game               to               begin               with,               and               even               more               than               that               if               you're               relying               on               poker               as               your               main               income.
                   After               you're               comfortable               with               the               idea               of               having               a               lot               of               money               backing               your               play,               you               need               to               realize               that               you're               going               to               need               even               more               money               behind               if               you               are               playing               in               a               game               that's               high-variance.

    The               wilder               the               players,               the               more               streets               of               betting,               and               the               higher               the               cap               on               the               betting               per               street,               the               larger               the               bankroll               you               absolutely               must               have.

    All               three               of               these               factors               create               more               of               a               statistical               term               called               variance.

    An               increase               in               variance               means               a               direct               increase               in               your               chance               of               going               broke               in               a               given               game               with               a               given               bankroll.
                   Finally               after               you               understand               how               deep               a               bankroll               needs               to               be               and               after               you               understand               the               role               of               variance,               you               need               to               realize               that               there               is               a               major               psychological               component               to               the               size               of               your               bankroll.

    When               you're               on               a               really               bad               streak               of               cards               (which               will               happen               from               time               to               time),               you               will               have               a               much               harder               time               recovering               and               playing               your               best               if               the               swing               takes               out               20%               of               your               bankroll               than               if               it               takes               out               only               5%               of               your               bankroll.

    The               comfort               of               having               a               large               number               of               bets               (or               buy-ins               if               you're               playing               no-limit/pot-limit               games)               left               before               you               have               to               move               down               or               go               broke               cannot               be               overemphasized.
                   The               intelligent               gambler               does               not               only               find               a               game               that               he               has               an               edge               in.

    He               (or               she)               also               evaluates               the               role               of               luck               in               the               game               and               the               probability               that               they               will               go               broke               based               on               the               chance               aspect               of               the               game.

    This               management               of               your               gambling               bankroll               is               crucial               to               longevity               in               the               game.






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