Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Review of poker hand probability calculator::How to Work Out a Bet? - What's Your Question?







Review of poker hand probability calculator::How to Work Out a Bet? - What's Your Question?








If               you               have               a               pocket               pair               of               either               sixes               or               kings               and               the               only               other               player               to               call               has               pocket               Aces,               which               pocket               pair               are               you               better               off               having               based               on               probability               percentages               of               winning?

Most               people               would               intuitively               say               pocket               kings               are               better.

Intuition               is               incorrect               in               this               case.

This               is               both               a               very               hard               question               and               a               very               easy               one.

It               is               an               easy               question               because               your               odds               are               very               poor               with               either               pair.

It               is               a               difficult               question               because               it               is               2%               worse               if               you               have               a               pair               of               kings               than               a               pair               of               sixes               against               the               pocket               aces.
               Before               I               go               into               the               analysis               of               this               hand               let               me               first               say               it               is               much               worse               to               have               pocket               kings               against               pocket               aces               because               you               are               much               more               likely               to               make               a               large               call               or               bet,               even               all               in               bet,               with               kings               than               sixes,               which               will               usually               be               folded               against               a               large               bet               or               raise.

Theoretically               these               two               hands               can               fall               at               endgame               with               two               head               up               players               left.

In               this               case               even               the               pocket               sixes               may               make               an               all               in               bet               since               any               pair               heads               up               is               generally               a               winner.
               If               you               have               two               kings               you               must               draw               a               third               king               without               the               aces               drawing               a               third               ace               in               order               to               win.

If               a               four               flush               is               unfolded               on               the               board               the               aces               will               beat               both               sixes               and               kings               if               the               hold               cards               of               both               players               match               the               suit               of               the               four               flush.

If               neither               player               matches               the               4               flush               the               point               is               moot,               with               the               improbable               exception               that               a               5               flush               on               board               will               unfold               to               tie               the               game.

Otherwise               the               single               player               matching               the               4               flush               will               win.
               The               reason               it               is               2%               better               to               have               sixes               rather               than               kings               has               to               do               with               the               possibility               of               a               straight               draw.

The               king               pair               limits               the               odds               of               the               aces               drawing               a               straight               since               a               king               fall               for               an               ace               high               straight               is               diminished               by               50%.

Likewise,               the               kings               draw               for               an               open               ended               straight               is               diminished               by               25%               since               two               aces               are               already               out               of               play               for               that               hand.
               In               real               time               play               the               odds               of               any               pocket               pair               winning               against               aces               is               small               before               the               flop,               about               1               in               5.

The               2%               advantage               due               to               a               straight               draw               is               small               and               more               of               an               intellectual               exercise               than               a               real               time               consideration.

You               are               more               likely               to               make               money               on               this               tidbit               of               information               as               a               side               bet               rather               than               a               difference               of               tactical               play.
               If               you               would               like               to               find               the               odds               of               any               two               to               six               combinations               of               hands               in               Texas               Hold'em               poker,               feel               free               to               use               the               free               poker               odds               calculator               at               the               World               Poker               Tour               home               page               at               worldpokertour.com.

They               have               a               whole               section               called               "The               Academy"               dedicated               to               increasing               your               poker               playing               skills.

Please               also               feel               free               to               read               all               my               other               poker               articles               on               Associated               Content.






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